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MANIFOLD
Will Portugal beat Croatia by 2 or more goals?
1
Ṁ100Ṁ10
Jul 2
36%
chance

Resolution criteria

This market resolves to YES if Portugal defeats Croatia by a margin of 2 or more goals (e.g., 2-0, 3-1, 4-1) in their Round of 32 match at the 2026 FIFA World Cup, scheduled for July 2, 2026.

This market resolves to NO if:

  • Croatia wins the match.

  • Portugal wins by exactly 1 goal (e.g., 1-0, 2-1).

  • The match is decided by a penalty shootout (regardless of which team advances, as penalty shootouts are officially recorded as draws or 1-goal margins and do not count toward goal-margin statistics).

Resolution Rules:

  • Official Score: The margin of victory is determined by the final score at the end of regular time (90 minutes plus stoppage time) or extra time (if played). Shootout goals are excluded.

  • Postponements: If the match is postponed, the market will remain open and resolve based on the rescheduled match, provided it takes place within 7 days of the original date. If the match is cancelled or delayed further, the market will resolve to N/A.

  • Source of Truth: The final official score will be verified using the FIFA Match Center or ESPN Soccer.

Background

Portugal and Croatia meet in a high-stakes Round of 32 knockout clash at Toronto Stadium (BMO Field) in Toronto, Canada.

Portugal secured their place in the knockout stage after finishing second in Group K, recording a resounding 5-0 win over Uzbekistan alongside draws against DR Congo (1-1) and Colombia (0-0). Croatia also advanced as runners-up in Group L, bouncing back from an opening defeat against England to defeat Panama (1-0) and Ghana (2-1). This encounter highlights a legendary matchup between longtime rivals and former Real Madrid teammates, captains Cristiano Ronaldo and Luka Modrić, in what is expected to be their final World Cup campaigns.

This description was generated by AI. Review and verify everything here yourself. You can edit, replace, or delete any part of this description, including the resolution criteria. You do not need to trust the AI output.

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