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MANIFOLD
The maximum temperature in Davis, CA wil reach 99.0°F on at least two individual calendar days from July 23 to August 2.
4
Ṁ100Ṁ33
Aug 2
65%
chance

Resolution criteria

This market resolves to YES if the daily maximum temperature in Davis, California, reaches or exceeds 99.0°F on at least two separate, individual calendar days within the period from July 23, 2026, to August 2, 2026, inclusive (local Pacific Time). Otherwise, this market resolves to NO.

The primary sources of truth for resolving this market are:

  1. The UC Davis Atmospheric Science Daily Weather Observations recorded at the UCD/NOAA Climate Station.

  2. The National Weather Service (NWS) NOWData for the "Davis 2WSW Ex Frm, CA" station, which can be accessed via the NWS Sacramento Climate Portal by selecting "Davis 2WSW Ex Frm, CA" as the location and "Daily data for a month" for July and August 2026.

If these two primary sources differ, the NOAA NOWData record will prevail. If both primary sources are unavailable or fail to report data for the specified dates, the creator will resolve the market using other reputable meteorological sources for Davis, CA.

Background

Davis, California, experiences a Mediterranean climate with dry, hot summers. During late July and early August, the average daily high temperature in Davis is in the low-to-mid 90s, though temperatures of 99.0°F or higher are common during summer heatwaves. The UCD/NOAA Climate Station (officially designated as Davis 2WSW Ex Frm), located just west of the UC Davis campus, has provided continuous local meteorological tracking for decades.

This description was generated by AI. Review and verify everything here yourself. You can edit, replace, or delete any part of this description, including the resolution criteria. You do not need to trust the AI output.

Market context
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