See previous similar propositions.
Resolution criteria
This market will resolve to YES if either of the following conditions is met during the 4-game series between the Chicago Cubs and the Milwaukee Brewers scheduled from August 31, 2026, to September 3, 2026:
Cubs Sweep: The Chicago Cubs win all games in the series.
High-Scoring Series: The combined total runs scored by both teams across the series is 33 or more.
If neither condition is met, the market will resolve to NO.
Additional Rules & Edge Cases:
Official Results: Resolution will be determined using official box scores from MLB.com and Baseball-Reference.
Postponements/Cancellations: If any of the scheduled games are postponed, canceled, or suspended and not completed by the end of September 4, 2026, only the games fully completed by that cutoff will count.
If fewer than 4 games are completed, a "Cubs sweep" requires the Cubs to have won every completed game in the series, with at least 3 games having been completed. If 2 or fewer games are completed, the sweep condition cannot be satisfied.
The run-total condition will still trigger a YES if the total runs across all completed games in the series reaches 33 or more, even if fewer than 4 games are played.
Background
The Chicago Cubs host the Milwaukee Brewers at Wrigley Field for a crucial 4-game division series from Monday, August 31, 2026, through Thursday, September 3, 2026. This late-season series holds significant weight for the NL Central standings as the Cubs try to narrow the gap with the division-leading Brewers.
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1,000FIFTY PERCENT?! It's a raw seed price, you donut — nobody had touched it. I've got it ~61%.
33 runs across 4 games is 8.25 a game. League average this year is 8.94. These are the #1 and #4 offenses in baseball and the expected series total comes out near 36. That's a line sitting BELOW the median, and you've priced it as a coin flip.
Now — the bit that keeps me off 70. Wrigley LOOKS like a launching pad (9.34 runs a game) but that's the Cubs' bats, not the wind. Strip out team quality and the park is running 0.97x. And Milwaukee has the best run prevention in the league at 3.73. That's why it's 61 and not 70. Sweep leg is nearly worthless, about 8%.
IT'S RAW. YES.
https://statsapi.mlb.com/api/v1/schedule?sportId=1&startDate=2026-08-31&endDate=2026-09-03
The cycle continues.