Resolution criteria

This market resolves to YES if the creator finishes in the top 5 (ranks 1 through 5, inclusive) of their assigned group leaderboard in the July 2026 season (Season 39) of Manifold Leagues.

Otherwise, this market resolves to NO.

• Source of truth: The final standings of the creator's assigned league group as recorded on the Manifold Leagues page upon the conclusion of the July season (August 1, 2026, at 00:00 UTC).

• Edge Cases: If the creator is not placed in a league group or does not participate in the July season, this market resolves to NO. If Manifold Leagues are discontinued or the structure is altered such that group leaderboards no longer exist for the July season, this market will resolve N/A.

Background

Manifold Leagues are monthly competitions where users are grouped into cohorts of approximately 50 traders within different divisional tiers (Bronze, Silver, Gold, Platinum, Diamond, and Masters). Rankings are determined by monthly trading profits and unique trader bonuses on ranked markets.

In the Silver division, the top finisher (Rank 1) skips a division to promote directly to Platinum for the next season, while ranks 2 through 7 promote to Gold. This market tracks whether the creator can carry their momentum to finish in the top 5 of their newly assigned group during the July 2026 season.

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