Will a majority of the Bangalore LessWrong/ACX meet-up attendees on 8th Jan 2023 find the discussion useful that day?

430Ṁ619

resolved Jan 8

Resolved

YES

ALL

This is just a test market for running the group. Depending on how it goes I might post similar markets for other group related things.

Link to LessWrong event page: https://www.lesswrong.com/events/n9oCbX2yPXHd6pM2K/bengaluru-lw-acx-social-meetup-jan-2023

Caviat: if we get enough people that the discussion needs to happen in 2-3 groups, a majority in all of the groups should give positive feedback about the discussion for this to resolve Yes otherwise it resolves No.

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So, accounting for your caveat

if >23 people show up, and there are 8+ groups, there have to be 2 people who found the discussion useful in every single group, and 7/8 groups being overwhelmingly positive also resolves to no

Depends on the exact wording of the question, but I expect a group of new rationalists meeting each other would be exciting for attendees, and likely to resolve in "yes" for this market