Will Nvidia outperform the S&P 500 in the first half of 2025?
Basic
5
Ṁ68
Jul 2
34%
chance

This question resolves as Yes if Nvidia's stock outperforms the S&P 500 in 2025. If its return is less than or equal to that of the S&P 500, this question resolves as No.

The resolution sources are: 

Each stock's return for Jan 1 - Jun 30 (incl.) 2025 will be calculated by taking its adjusted close at Yahoo Finance on 6/30/25, dividing it by the adjusted close price for December 31, 2024, subtracting 1 and then multiplying by 100%. For example:

  • In the final trading day of 2024, Nvidia's adj. close price was $134.29. Its adj. close price on the final trading day of 2023 was $49.51. Its return for the year was 171.2%

  • In the final trading day of 2024, SPY's adj. close price was $586.08. Its adj. close price on the final trading day of 2023 was $469.29. Its return for the year was 24.9%

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