Will Nvidia outperform the S&P 500 in 2025?
589
10kṀ400k
2026
65%
chance

From the ACX 2025 Prediction Contest:

I will resolve this based on the Metaculus resolution:
This question resolves as Yes if Nvidia's stock outperforms the S&P 500 in 2025. If its return is less than or equal to that of the S&P 500, this question resolves as No.

The resolution sources are: 

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