[ACX 2026] Will the US, UK or EU approve a gene editing therapy for a new condition during 2026? | Manifold

[ACX 2026] Will the US, UK or EU approve a gene editing therapy for a new condition during 2026?

19

Ṁ5.1kṀ5.3k

Dec 31

19%

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Resolves according to Metaculus resolution.

Metaculus high-level description:
This question will resolve as Yes if any of the US FDA, UK MHRA, or the EU Commission authorizes the use or sale of a therapy whose primary mechanism directly editing the patient's genomic DNA for any human condition other than sickle cell disease and beta thalassemia before January 1, 2027.

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bought Ṁ20 YES

I go with my heart- Trump/RFK will cause a "pole vault" effect that will separate other nations from USA "leadership" in medical advances. If Trump doesn't kill us all, this will be a historic time for science and technology. Thanks for market!

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[ACX 2026] Will the FDA approve a psilocybin treatment during 2026?

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