Resolves according to Metaculus resolution.
Metaculus high-level description:
This question will resolve as Yes if a song largely created by AI lists in the top 20 on any weekly Billboard Hot 100 chart released before January 1, 2027.
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Toss-up feels about right. AI-generated music “good enough” that one random track could go viral at any time… but it’s no so good as to be likely, and the anti-AI sentiment is likely to suppress it (though could also provide a bit of Streisand effect to boost its eventual virality). In the next couple of years…. I would bet quite high. But this year? Harder to say.
Monet’s track ‘How Was I Supposed to Know?’ came out at No. 30 on the Adult R&B Airplay chart this week, and also took the top spot on the R&B Digital Song Sales chart and, since the summer, has appeared on Hot Gospel Songs, Hot R&B Songs, and Emerging Artists charts.
i think the top 20 of the hot 100 is much much more competitive than these
wikipedia lists there being like 200 random charts like these that are presumably far far less competitive https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Billboard_charts
@SemioticRivalry And a difficult one. There is a lot of negative sentiment towards AI art but on the other hand there are greedy record labels who will try to make profit out of AI.
It's already happened for country music!
https://people.com/breaking-rust-walk-my-walk-ai-generated-song-tops-charts-11848830