Will any YouTube channel overtake Uruha Rushia's lifetime Superchat volume before the end of 2023?
Will any YouTube channel overtake Uruha Rushia's lifetime Superchat volume before the end of 2023?
7
150Ṁ1762resolved Nov 29
Resolved
YES1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Playboard's numbers will be used to resolve.
https://playboard.co/en/youtube-ranking/most-superchatted-all-channels-in-worldwide-total
Uruha Rushia was terminated from her company and her account has been inactive since February 2022. Despite this, over a year later, she is still the worldwide YouTube channel leader in superchat volume, at over $3 million USD. This is considering all YouTube channels, not merely Vtuber channels.
If any YouTube channel overtakes her before the end of 2023, this market will resolve YES.
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why use play money?
Why use play money?Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.
Play money means it's much easier for anyone anywhere in the world to get started and try out forecasting without any risk. It also means there's more freedom to create and bet on any type of question.