Resolution criteria

This market will resolve to the specific date on which the voyage of the Freedom Flotilla, carrying Greta Thunberg, concludes. The voyage is considered finished when the vessel reaches its final destination or is officially terminated. If the voyage concludes on a date not listed among the provided options, the market will resolve to "Other." If the voyage is canceled before departure, the market will resolve as N/A. Official announcements from the Freedom Flotilla Coalition or credible news sources will serve as the basis for resolution.

Background

On June 1, 2025, climate activist Greta Thunberg, along with 11 other individuals, embarked on a voyage aboard the vessel Madleen, operated by the Freedom Flotilla Coalition. The mission aims to deliver humanitarian aid to Gaza and challenge the Israeli blockade. The journey commenced from Catania, Italy, and is expected to last approximately seven days, with an anticipated arrival in Gaza around June 8, 2025. However, the voyage has faced challenges, including reported harassment by Israeli drones on June 3, 2025, while the vessel was approximately 80 kilometers off the Greek coast. (elpais.com)

Considerations

Given the geopolitical tensions and previous incidents involving aid flotillas to Gaza, there is a possibility of delays, rerouting, or interception by military forces, which could affect the voyage's duration and conclusion date. Participants and observers should stay informed through official communications from the Freedom Flotilla Coalition and reputable news outlets for updates on the voyage's status.

• Update 2025-06-04 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator has clarified that the voyage will also be considered concluded if the vessel is stopped by any means. Examples provided include the vessel being:

  • Arrested

  • Disabled

  • Sunk

Furthermore, any subsequent attempts (e.g., with a different vessel, a team without Greta, or to a different destination) after such a conclusion will not count for this market.