This market resolves YES if credible human rights organizations or international monitors report that at least 500 Alawite civilians have been killed in Syria between March 7, 2025 and June 1, 2025. It resolves NO if the reported death toll is below 500.

The Syrian Observatory for Human Rights reported that at least 340 Alawite civilians were killed by Syrian security forces and allied groups since March 7, 2025. This market tracks whether this violence continues or escalates.

Resolution will be based on reports from the Syrian Observatory for Human Rights, the UN Human Rights Council, Amnesty International, or other widely recognized monitoring organizations.

Sources:

• Al-Monitor report on 340 Alawite civilians killed

• Economic Times report