On May 5, 2025, Yemen's Houthi rebels announced a comprehensive aerial campaign targeting Israeli airports, starting with Ben Gurion Airport. They claimed responsibility for a missile strike near Ben Gurion, marking the first successful strike since March. This market resolves to 'Yes' if a Houthi missile successfully hits Israeli territory before May 31, 2025. Verification will be based on credible news reports from sources such as Reuters.
Update 2025-05-05 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): To count as a successful hit, the missile must:
Fall near the designated place (as announced by the senders).
Explode.
The following scenarios do not count as a successful hit:
The missile falls in the middle of the desert (unless that was the designated area).
The missile is intercepted and falls as scraps.
The missile falls in a completely different place (e.g., a different city) than designated.
Generally, a successful hit is accompanied by a big hole in the ground. The event mentioned by the creator as occurring on May 4th is considered an example of a successful hit.
1,000@OP missile fell near the designated (as said later in announcement by its senders) place and exploded. E.g. fell in the middle of the desert - does not count, was intercepted and fell as scraps - does not count, fell in completely different place (think different city) - does not count. What happened on May the 4th - counts. Generally it is accompanied by a big hole in the ground as a result.