Current polling shows Mamdani with 49-52% support, while Cuomo polls at 28% and Sliwa at 13-14%. In the Democratic primary, Mamdani won with 56.4% after ranked-choice voting. The general election is November 4, 2025.

This market resolves to Mamdani's exact percentage of the popular vote in the NYC mayoral election, rounded to the nearest whole number.

Resolution based on official NYC Board of Elections results at https://vote.nyc/page/election-results-summary.

Resolution criteria

This market will resolve to Andrew Cuomo's exact percentage of the popular vote in the New York City mayoral election on November 4, 2025, rounded to the nearest whole number. The resolution will be based on the official election results published by the NYC Board of Elections.

Background

The 2025 New York City mayoral election is scheduled for November 4, 2025. The field of prominent candidates includes Democratic state assemblyman Zohran Mamdani, Republican activist Curtis Sliwa, and former governor Andrew Cuomo, who is running as an independent. Mamdani secured the Democratic nomination after defeating Cuomo in the primary election, which used ranked-choice voting. Following his primary loss, Cuomo launched an independent campaign on the "Fight and Deliver" ballot line. Recent polling data indicates Mamdani holds a lead, with support ranging from approximately 43.2% to 52%, while Cuomo polls at around 28% to 33%, and Sliwa at 13% to 19.4%.

Considerations

None.