Will the government bail out multifamily apartment developers or REITs by 2025
3
90Ṁ105
2026
10%
chance

Resolution Criteria: according to my best judgement of a bailout. That generally means

1) direct cash transfers

2) loans with a high likelihood of default

If there's some bailout that targets the economy more broadly but happens to hit real estate companies, that resolves Yes

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No, but the collapse will destroy tax revenue for local government.

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