Will Worldcoin reach 10M users by the end of 2024?
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Dec 31
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Worldcoin has recently passed 5 million users, up from roughly 2 million at launch in July 2023. Will they be able to accelerate their growth?

  • Update 2024-17-12 (PST): This market will be resolved based on Orb-verified users only, not total users. The creator will look up the number of Orb-verified users in news articles at close time to determine resolution. (AI summary of creator comment)

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Looking up news stories on world coins, they now claim total user numbers as something distinct from verified users, e.g. here:

"With 15 million users currently, including 7 million verified through its Orb technology [...]"

At the time I created this question, "users" were unambiguously orb-verified humans, and I will resolve the question accordingly. At close time, I will look up this number in relevant news articles, resolving NO based on the 7 million figure quoted above if I don't find anything more recent.

Get in your bets (and your objections to my criteria) now!

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