Ukraine will successfully hit Russian Black Sea export terminals in Crimea within a month

Ṁ100Ṁ537

resolved May 6

Resolved

ALL

Resolves as YES if before end of April 2026, reliable/mainstream sources report a Ukrainian attack on Russian terminals on the Crimean peninsula, with demonstrable impact on the capacity of these terminals.

Resolves as NO otherwise.

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Are there any active export terminals on the Crimean peninsula? It's only land connection with Russia is by bridge, there is little sense for Russia to ship stuff from there even in peacetime.

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