Abhayesian recently posted a lesswrong post explaining our paper, how many total votes will it get before July (using votes instead of karma to avoid incentivicing low number holders to down-vote).
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/EBbcuSuNafkYpsgTW/finding-backward-chaining-circuits-in-transformers-trained-1
1,000🏅 Top traders
| # | Name | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ2,126 | |
| 2 | Ṁ474 | |
| 3 | Ṁ191 | |
| 4 | Ṁ92 | |
| 5 | Ṁ48 |
oh fuck me, it doesn't show that number on mobile and i completely misinterpreted what i was looking at 😭
@VictorLevoso It would probably be fine for me to buy it myself since this market doesn't require my subjective opinion to resolve but I think I'll let other people do it.
@VictorLevoso I think this was meant to be a dependent multichoice market (answers sum to 1)? You can’t change that on this market directly but you can duplicate it, change that, and N/A this one if you want to
@Bayesian Yeah you are right, I realized just after clicking the create market button.
Don't I lose the mana that way thou? I'm not sure I have enough rn to make the market again.
I mean technically I can resolve all as no except the correct one its just slightly more annoying to use.
@VictorLevoso n/A gives you back the mana. Idk if regular users still can N/A though. I can do it. Yeah independent MC still works to be clear, just doesn’t have the automatic market maker arb across options
@Bayesian Seems N/A doesn't work anymore.
So I guess its going to have to be people's job to keep the probabilities of the market consistent.
@VictorLevoso mods can N/A, regular users can't, bc otherwise there are schemes that let you print money using N/A. that works.