![](/_next/image?url=https%3A%2F%2Fstorage.googleapis.com%2Fmantic-markets.appspot.com%2Fcontract-images%2FLessWrong%2FAcZPLCRntA.jpg&w=3840&q=75)
Will "The Median Researcher Problem" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
Basic
2
Ṁ172026
12%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
As part of LessWrong's Annual Review, the community nominates, writes reviews, and votes on the most valuable posts. Posts are reviewable once they have been up for at least 12 months, and the 2024 Review resolves in February 2026.
This market will resolve to 100% if the post The Median Researcher Problem is one of the top fifty posts of the 2024 Review, and 0% otherwise. The market was initialized to 14%.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
Related questions
Related questions
Will "So You Want To Make Marginal Progress..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
15% chance
Will "2023 Survey Results" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
2% chance
Will "The Pareto Best and the Curse of Doom" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
19% chance
Will "The Pareto Best and the Curse of Doom" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
14% chance
Will "2024 Unofficial LessWrong Census/Survey" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
4% chance
Will "Lsusr's Rationality Dojo" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
17% chance
Will "The Leopold Model: Analysis and Reactions" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
13% chance
Will "Making every researcher seek grants is a brok..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
22% chance
Will "What happens if you present 500 people with a..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
12% chance
Will "Overcoming Bias Anthology" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
13% chance