
Will Gemini achieve a higher score on the SAT compared to GPT-4?
38
1kṀ5921resolved Jan 6
Resolved
NO1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
🏅 Top traders
# | Name | Total profit |
---|---|---|
1 | Ṁ647 | |
2 | Ṁ357 | |
3 | Ṁ162 | |
4 | Ṁ128 | |
5 | Ṁ90 |
People are also trading
Will Gemini outperform GPT-4 at mathematical theorem-proving?
62% chance
Will "Gemini [Ultra, 1.0] smash GPT-4 by 5x"?
18% chance
What score will GPT-5 get on the SAT?
Will Google Gemini do as well as GPT-4 on Sparks of AGI tasks?
76% chance
Will GPT-5 have a perfect SAT score in either section?
90% chance
GPT-5 score on GPQA Diamond?
87.5
Will Gemini be more popular than Chatgpt at the end of 2025?
18% chance
Will GPT-4.5 score at least 100 in an IQ test?
65% chance
Will GPT-5 score at least 100 in an IQ test?
89% chance
Will Gemini be more popular than Chatgpt at the end of 2027?
48% chance
Sort by:
There's so many different versions of each of these models that I think the only reasonable resolution at this point is N/A.
Gemini-Ultra does, not betting cause I don't know if it counts
https://storage.googleapis.com/deepmind-media/gemini/gemini_1_report.pdf
predictedYES 1y
@VictorLJZ It doesn't say it directly, but it does say it beats GPT4 in practically everything, so it seems like a reasonable extrapolation if the results in the paper are real
People are also trading
Related questions
Will Gemini outperform GPT-4 at mathematical theorem-proving?
62% chance
Will "Gemini [Ultra, 1.0] smash GPT-4 by 5x"?
18% chance
What score will GPT-5 get on the SAT?
Will Google Gemini do as well as GPT-4 on Sparks of AGI tasks?
76% chance
Will GPT-5 have a perfect SAT score in either section?
90% chance
GPT-5 score on GPQA Diamond?
87.5
Will Gemini be more popular than Chatgpt at the end of 2025?
18% chance
Will GPT-4.5 score at least 100 in an IQ test?
65% chance
Will GPT-5 score at least 100 in an IQ test?
89% chance
Will Gemini be more popular than Chatgpt at the end of 2027?
48% chance