Resolution criteria

This market resolves to YES if the price of Bitcoin (BTC) reaches or exceeds $85,000.00 USD at any point between market creation and November 30, 2026, at 11:59:59 PM UTC. Otherwise, it resolves to NO.

Resolution will be determined by the BTC/USD spot price reported on CoinGecko. If CoinGecko is unavailable or exhibits clear pricing anomalies, secondary reference will be given to the BTC/USD index on CoinMarketCap or major spot exchanges (such as Coinbase or Binance).

A single tick or print of $85,000.00 USD or higher on the reference source during the market period is sufficient for an immediate YES resolution.

Background

Bitcoin (BTC) traded above $85,000 in late 2024 and reached an all-time high of over $126,000 in October 2025 before pulling back. Heading into late 2026, Bitcoin has traded predominantly in the $70,000 to $85,000 range. This market assesses whether BTC will reclaim the $85,000 mark by the end of November 2026.

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