Will a fully functional brain-computer interface be commercially available by 2030?
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The basic bar I'll use for functional interface is the ability to type with your thoughts.
Commerically available will mean available to the general public, and marketed for sale. Marketed for sale means the device is being brokered for the explicit purpose of making profit: if a billionaire pays someone a lot of money to build them their own personal interface it does not count. It does not need to be affordable. If anyone with enough money can buy one, this resolves as Y.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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