When will the size of the fast food workforce begin declining in America?
3
160Ṁ1452061
2,029
expected
1D
1W
1M
ALL
To control for cyclical shifts, I'll look for a period where fast food employment decreases for five years in a row. If it starts declining in 2030 and continues to decline until eoy 2035, I will mark 2030 as the resolution date.
I am assuming at some point much, if not all, of the labor involved in serving fast food will get automated. If burger flipping hasn't lost relevance by 2060, this market will resolve N/A.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
Related questions
Related questions
In what year will over half of us fast food restaurants in the US have less than 2 employees on staff at a time?
Will a majority of McDonalds in the US stop having face to face human cashiers by the end of 2035?
49% chance
Will a majority of McDonalds in the US stop having face to face human cashiers by the end of 2050?
60% chance
10% of McDonald's will close by 2025
31% chance
Will the US obesity rate stop rising by 2024?
30% chance
Will the average weight of Americans decrease between 2024 and 2025
66% chance
Will an American national fast food chain use lab-grown/cultured meat in a product by 2030?
81% chance
Proportional to population, will the number of white collar jobs in the US decrease by five-fold by the year 2040?
33% chance
Will the number of truck drivers in the US more than halve before 2029?
14% chance
In 20 years, will the employment:population ratio for prime-age Americans be below 70%?
50% chance