According to https://status.claude.com/, we're currently at 99.1% uptime over the last 30 days.
I've written a script that queries https://status.claude.com/ once an hour, and will run it on my Raspberry Pi for the rest of the year. If the 30 day uptime for "Claude API (api.anthropic.com)" ever drops below 98%, this question resolves yes.
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Market was ~42% when I bet; I have it around 10%. Getting under 98% for a 30-day window takes roughly 14 hours of full outage inside one month. Recent 30/60/90-day uptime on the status page is 99.86% / 99.76% / 99.59%, and the worst reading here since April was 98.94%. With 2.5 months left, it would take a really bad incident. https://status.claude.com/
Current worst uptimes:
Last entry timestamp: 2026-06-12T08:22:06+00:00
Worst uptime per service:
claude.ai: 98.62% (recorded at 2026-05-22T06:22:04+00:00)
Claude API (api.anthropic.com): 98.94% (recorded at 2026-05-22T07:22:08+00:00)
Claude Code: 99.0% (recorded at 2026-06-05T17:22:09+00:00)
Claude Console (platform.claude.com): 99.07% (recorded at 2026-05-22T06:22:04+00:00)
platform.claude.com (formerly console.anthropic.com): 99.1% (recorded at 2026-04-24T17:22:07+00:00)
Claude Cowork: 99.28% (recorded at 2026-04-30T02:22:04+00:00)
Claude for Government: 99.86% (recorded at 2026-04-30T02:22:04+00:00)The lowest 30-day uptime my script (running now for 5 days, due to a dumb bug overwriting older results prior to that) has recorded for the API so far is 99.05%.
Not that it's relevant to this market, but the product with the lowest min uptime so far is 'claude.ai' at 98.75%.
