How many views will this video have after 30 days?
59
10kṀ150k
resolved Sep 16
Resolved
100,000 - 199,999
100%99.6%
100,000 - 199,999
0.1%
Below 100,000
0.1%
200,000 - 299,999
0.1%
300,000 - 499,999
0.1%
500,000 - 749,999
0.1%
750,000 - 1,000,000
0.1%
Above 1,000,000

How many views will this video have after 30 days? For comparison, our previous video had 267k. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Y95a-8oNqps

I will not bet on this market.

Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!

🏅 Top traders

#NameTotal profit
1Ṁ4,363
2Ṁ1,291
3Ṁ1,152
4Ṁ576
5Ṁ357
Sort by:
bought Ṁ25 YES

Looks like DMT Creator Estimator* puts this at around 159K for first 30 days so that's my bet. Good luck and let's see if this an outlier!! 🫡

*which you can get for free as part of the google sheets Creator Data plugin here

https://workspace.google.com/u/0/marketplace/app/dmt_creator_data/752840059650

@AndyMac That is really good! I had been looking on social blade and plotting with desmos and eyeing it. these markets frequently pop up so that's alpha. we'd need a distribution tho for it to be most useful

eg

(this is total channel views but 80%ish of it is that one video)

@AndyMac 167k, pretty accurate!

@ProjectVictory haha I was just about to comment, not too bad! this tool is pretty strong at getting baseline performance for channels, usually within 10% margin of error

bought Ṁ1,000 NO

@VaclavRozhon Resolves no 😄

@Houston2025 @mods is it proper form to allow creator to wait until end of period to resolve all options? Asking because of large amount of liquidity tied up in “Below 100,000” option

@Houston2025 they can't resolve any options until the answer is known.

@Eliza ahh I see that now, thank you

@Houston2025 I can place a No limit order for 25000 mana on that answer and you can sell into it at 1%

sold Ṁ12,681 NO

@Eliza bless you

© Manifold Markets, Inc.TermsPrivacy