Who, if appointed to the cabinet, will last at least two full years?
Basic
5
Ṁ286
2029
32%
Vivek Ramaswamy
32%
Elon Musk
32%
Doug Burgum
22%
Ben Carson
16%
Tulsi Gabbard
16%
David Sacks
16%
Steve Bannon
16%
Marco Rubio
16%
Ken Paxton
13%
Robert F. Kennedy Jr

Who, if appointed to Trump's cabinet, will last at least two full years without being fired or resigning?

Only appointments that occur when there are at least two years remaining in Trump's term will be counted.

Anyone who is appointed to the cabinet (within the eligible time period) and then is fired or resigns within two years will resolve No; if they do last full two years, they resolve Yes. Anyone not appointed to the cabinet by the time when there are no longer two years left in the term, resolve N/A at that time, and no more submissions can be made after that point.

If Trump dies, resigns, or is removed from office, all remaining markets will resolve N/A. (This would not affect markets which are already closed by that point.)

I will not bet on this market.

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