Will MM offer a built in odds amplifier, in 2022?
14
202Ṁ1081resolved Jan 15
Resolved
NO1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
An ODDS amplifier makes betting on low probability events a bit more fun.
Let's say X has probability about 1% in the minds of bettors.
In a normal market this is problematic, people won't bet NO because they lock their money up, risk incorrect resolution for a say a measly 1M for 200M bet.
With amplified odds you say
"Market resolves YES if X"
"Market resolves NO if not X and I roll 1 on a 100-sided dice"
"Otherwise resolves N/A"
Then the probability of the market should be around 50%, since YES and NO are equally likely. And that gives more finesse for the market to decide exactly how near 1% the probability is.
This market resolves YES if MM makes this a build in feature, or a feature with a similar goal to encourage betting on low probability markets.
Although possible to do this manually, MM could automate the random number picking part of it, which is always a pain.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000🏅 Top traders
| # | Name | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ16 | |
| 2 | Ṁ16 | |
| 3 | Ṁ16 | |
| 4 | Ṁ12 | |
| 5 | Ṁ10 |
People are also trading
Related questions
Will Manifold add the ability to edit the amount of your bet within seconds of making it by the end of 2025?
2% chance
Before 2026, will Manifold innovate its way to a market correctly pricing a 1-in-100,000 random chance of Yes as 0.001%?
2% chance
Will manifold reintroduce real money betting by 2026?
21% chance
Will Manifold Introduce Parlays by the End of 2025?
4% chance
By the end of 2025, will players at Magic: The Gathering tournaments be allowed to use Manifold to bet on them?
7% chance
Will Manifold offer real money betting again before the end of 2025?
20% chance
Will Manifold offer real money betting again before the end of 2026?
48% chance