Will a single natural disaster event kill more than 50,000 people in 2024?
Plus
40
Ṁ9045Jan 1
13%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This excludes famine or epidemic/ pandemics.
In the past 30 years there have been aprox. 10 natural disaster events that have killed more than 50,000 people, including earthquakes and heat waves.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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1,000
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