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MANIFOLD
Manifold Plays RPS β—‹ Round 1 β—‹ (0-0)
8
αΉ€100αΉ€1.2k
resolved Aug 25
Resolved
N/A
πŸͺ¨ Rock πŸͺ¨
Resolved
N/A
βœ‚οΈ Scissors βœ‚οΈ
Resolved
YES
πŸ“„ Paper πŸ“„

πŸͺ¨πŸ“„βœ‚οΈ Rock Paper Scissors using Futarchy! πŸͺ¨πŸ“„βœ‚οΈ

Root market, with explanation of what Futarchy is:
/Tumbles/will-manifold-defeat-tumbles-using


This is a best of seven (first to four wins is victorious)

Round 1 - Current Score:

Manifold: 0

Tumbles: 0


Whichever option is the highest becomes Manifold's move this round!

The two options that aren't chosen immediately resolve N/A.

The chosen option resolves YES or NO based on which side wins the entire best of seven, not based on the winner of this round.


RPS Rules:

  • Tumbles is allowed to bet on these options when each round starts, but is prohibited from betting on this market within 12 hours of the round ending

  • Round ends and decisions are finalized at 4:20 pm PST each day

    • If Tumbles is very late to create a market, resolution will be delayed 24 hours to make sure decision markets are always open for at least 16 hours

  • Tumbles locks in his move each round before creating the decision markets for that round

    • Decisions are messaged to @Stralor via discord, an ex-user of Manifold with a good reputation, so that moves can be verified if needed

    • Decisions are also posted in the comments as an MD5 hash


Futarchy Format:

  • Each round there are three options, one for each of Rock/Paper/Scissors

  • At resolution time each round (4:20pm), the option with the highest percentage becomes Manifold's chosen action

  • The two options that are not chosen immediately resolve N/A

  • This chosen option will stay open until the entire set of RPS games is complete, and resolve based on whether Manifold won the best of seven

  • Chosen option is determined based on what can be determined by looking at the regular interface, not the api

    • In the case of a tie between two options, RPS rules determine which option is chosen (ROCK beats PAPER, etc)

    • In the case of a tie between all three options, ROCK becomes the chosen option

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Manifold has chosen paper!

My choice was.... scissors!

Hash verification: https://manifold.markets/Tumbles/manifold-plays-rps-round-1-00-cqldQ05PNN#22e667fmcxr

I win round 1! Perhaps Manifolders just aren't cut out to compete at my level...

Round 2: /Tumbles/manifold-plays-rps-round-2-01

Ties are skipped (meaning, say, the game could go on for 40 rounds if there were 36 ties), right?

@Interrobang correct

If Manifold wins the entire best of seven, do all the non-NA'd options resolve YES? Right now it's ambiguous.

@Interrobang that’s correct

MD5 hash of my move: 9676dfce85c9ecaa5c7b9385dffdfc0b

generated with https://www.md5hashgenerator.com/

The move choice I created a hash for:

scissorsawefnown898hg9e8gh