During what year will someone win a Major using Mario or Dr Mario? (melee)
5%
2025 (or earlier)
10%
2026 (or earlier)
15%
2027 (or earlier)
20%
2028 (or earlier)
25%
2029 (or earlier)
30%
2030 (or earlier)
35%
2031 (or earlier)
50%
2032 (or earlier)
55%
2033 (or earlier)
69%
2034 (or earlier)

In order to count for the purpose of this market, the winner of a major needs to win a game with either Mario or Dr Mario during Grand Finals, Winner's Finals, Winner's Semifinals, Loser's Finals, Loser's Semifinals, or Loser's Quarterfinals. Must occur after 2024.

I will be deferring to Liquipedia on which tournaments count as a 'Major'.

Be sure to check out the SSBM Tournament dashboard! 🏆

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