Will Pete Hegseth resign as US Secretary of Defense before the end of July 2025?
132
100Ṁ12k
Jul 31
9%
chance

Will resolve YES if Pete Hegseth resigns from his position as US Secretary of Defense for any reason before July 2025

  • Update 2025-04-21 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Updated Criteria:

    • The official announcement must indicate that Pete Hegseth resigned or is stepping down of his own accord.

    • If the announcement shows he was terminated by POTUS or another authority, the market will resolve as NO.

Pete Hegseth
Houthi
Yemen
National Security
Department of Defence
Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!
Sort by:
sold Ṁ116 NO

How does this resolve if he's fired but doesn't resign on his own volition @creator ?

@bens - the official press release or announcement from White House must indicate resignation or that he is stepping down from the role (of his own accord) otherwise will resolve NO. If the announcement unequivocally states he was terminated from the role by order of POTUS or other authority then will resolve NO.

bought Ṁ20 NO

Out of all the people aware of the possibility, does even one person put <10% that this was a hack (e.g. a fake accident for disruption and/or a hit on Hegseth)?

People are also trading

Will Trump resign prior to the end of his term?
-40% 1d10% chance
Who will be secretary of defense on June 30, 2025?
When will Pete Hegseth next be noticably drunk in public as Secretary of Defense?
Will a Congress-confirmed 2025 cabinet pick resign or be removed before June 30, 2025?
68% chance
If Pete Hegseth is confirmed, will he be seen drinking a drop of alcohol while he is Secretary of Defense?
52% chance
Will Pete Hegseth have another major gaffe before 2026?
79% chance
Will Pete Hegseth write or say the words "Deus vult" while Secretary of Defence?
11% chance
Trump's first cabinet member fired, failed, or resigned Pete Hegseth?
33% chance
Will Bernie Sanders cease to be a US Senator before the end of 2025?
7% chance
Who will lose his job first: Defense Secretary Hegseth or Defense Minister Dong?
© Manifold Markets, Inc.•Terms + Mana-only Terms•Privacy•Rules