Will the sequel to The Super Mario Bros. Movie gross more worldwide at the box office than the first film?
9
37
260
2027
71%
chance

On March 10th ("Mar10 day"), 2024, Nintendo announced a sequel to The Super Mario Bros. Movie (2023), with a planned release date of April 3rd, 2026: https://www.nintendo.co.jp/corporate/release/en/2024/240310.html

The Super Mario Bros. Movie (2023) had a take of $1,361,972,248 worldwide at the box office, according to Box Office Mojo at the time of market creation: https://www.boxofficemojo.com/title/tt6718170/

If, by the end of the initial run of the sequel to The Super Mario Bros. Movie, it has not grossed more worldwide than the amount listed on Box Office Mojo for the first movie, this market will resolve NO.

If it grosses more worldwide than the first film according to Box Office Mojo's numbers, this market will resolve YES.

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