Will the next Australian federal election happen in 2024?
Basic
11
Ṁ2001Jan 1
1%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
If election day for the federal election to elect the members of the 48th Parliament of Australia lands on a day in 2024, this market will resolve to YES. Otherwise NO.
If either house has a separate election in 2024, this would count. Regular simultaneous half-Senate and House of Reps elections count. Double dissolution elections count.
By-elections do not count.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
Which Australian political party will become the dominant party after the next House election (as of Feb 2024)?
Will the next Australian federal election happen in 2025?
93% chance
Will a Canadian Federal election be called before the end of 2024?
9% chance
What will be true of the next general election for the House of Representatives in Australia?
Will a federal election be called in Canada before the end of 2024?
5% chance
Will there be a federal election in Canada in 2024?
3% chance
Will the next Canadian federal election be before August 1st 2025?
53% chance
Canada Politics: Will an early federal election be called in 2024?
4% chance
In which month will the 2025 Australian federal election be held?
a Canadian federal election will be called before the end of 2024
8% chance