MANIFOLD
Will the next Australian federal election happen in 2024?
11
Ṁ170Ṁ2k
resolved Dec 31
Resolved
NO

If election day for the federal election to elect the members of the 48th Parliament of Australia lands on a day in 2024, this market will resolve to YES. Otherwise NO.

If either house has a separate election in 2024, this would count. Regular simultaneous half-Senate and House of Reps elections count. Double dissolution elections count.

By-elections do not count.

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The last time a federal election didn't take place in the third year following the last election (which in this case would be 2025) was 1998.

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