Will 'The Legend of Zelda: Tears of the Kingdom' have outsold 'Breath of the Wild' at any point before 2025?
21
1kṀ8895
resolved Dec 31
Resolved
NO

Resolution will be based on Nintendo's official Investor Relations information.

If at any point before 2025 in any of Nintendo's updates to the Top Selling Title Sales Units financial data (https://www.nintendo.co.jp/ir/en/finance/software/index.html), 'The Legend of Zelda: Tears of the Kingdom' is listed as having more copies sold than 'The Legend of Zelda: Breath of the Wild', this market will resolve to YES.

If 2025 begins and Nintendo has never released data showing that TotK has sold more copies than BotW, this market will resolve to NO.

For reference, at the time of market creation, BotW is listed as having sold 29.81 million copies as of the March 31st, 2023 update to the figures.

Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!

🏅 Top traders

#NameTotal profit
1Ṁ357
2Ṁ162
3Ṁ109
4Ṁ109
5Ṁ38
Sort by:

TOTK is just a slightly-worse variant of BOTW. For most people even now who haven't played either, it's better to play BOTW if you only play one.

Tears of the Kingdom sold 18 million copies in less than three months. BOTW didn't hit that milestone until early 2020, three years after it came out.

© Manifold Markets, Inc.Terms + Mana-only TermsPrivacyRules