https://www.issmmbeatenyet.com/
An informal collective of people known as Team 0% is trying to beat every single Super Mario Maker level before the servers for the game shut down on April 9th.
On April 1st, 2021, when level uploading was disabled, there were more than 48000 levels that still hadn't been cleared. This has been steadily whittled down over the years, and at the time of market creation, there are only 350 to go.
However, the remaining levels seem like they could be near impossible. Clear rates have continued to drop, with fewer and fewer levels being cleared every day.
If the players succeed before server shutdown, this market will resolve YES.
If the players do not succeed, this market will resolve NO.
1,000🏅 Top traders
| # | Name | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ287 | |
| 2 | Ṁ223 | |
| 3 | Ṁ182 | |
| 4 | Ṁ155 | |
| 5 | Ṁ128 |
People are also trading
The site has been updated. Yes!
Ahoyo's admission that Trimming the Herbs was TAS:
@Tripping GPB has some real egg on his face. "Yeah, the guy was totally good enough to beat it, dude was legit."
I think the answer is still pretty clearly yes, watching how much Kirbs is improving and there being 2 weeks left. Plus the fact that Yoshi has gotten to the top of the climb already. It'll be a grind though. On another note, I think the level was more likely to have been hacked than many people like GPB are alleging. Riley's video that was linked below has been privated temporarily because an article linked to it and brought it more attention to it than he wanted. It was already mistaken on some issues, but he's updated his concerns here. Combined with Yoshi's here, (loving the "nah, I'd win" energy) I think this is at least somewhat plausible. I ultimately still think it's unlikely due to the difficulty of TASing WiiU, and the fact that nobody has come up with a plausible way the clear vid was faked. There's a lot here that's suspicious, but ultimately there's no alternative theory to legitimacy that works quite as well.
With four(!) levels remaining, I've created a market to bet on which will be the last to fall:
https://manifold.markets/FergusonSitwell/which-of-these-smm1-levels-will-be
I talked to someone who seemed well-informed on this subject and they presented the following:
They have been watching "so many streams of this lately" -- I think they are well-informed and trust their opinion
They believe it will happen
There are two specific stages they are concerned might be difficult: "trimming the herbs and 3lap"
They think someone will beat everything else out there, but those two are the hardest
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JpTJ3k1sfk8
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=siz4oB4CGKo
these are the 2 hardest levels if you think someone can beat them vote yes
the first one you have to do 3 times over with a 50 second timer
the second one looks 100x harder then it is
both of these are from 2017
generally speaking boombs 5 is harder then both but bombs 5 was also wya mor epopular then both
every level on this list is possible
Based on this interaction, I am inclined to purchase some Yes shares. It seems like the movement has a lot of steam behind it.
@Eliza Just trimming the herbs left! The speedrun is done. Slightly under a month to get through them.
@Najawin Ooh, and they're already down to 120, just 2.5 days later! Really hoping they can get these last 120 hardest levels done, omg.