Will a majority of voters in South Australia vote YES on the Australian Indigenous Voice referendum?
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resolved Oct 18
Resolved
NO

A referendum to alter the constitution in Australia must achieve a double majority in order to pass - it must be approved by a majority of those voting, and also separately it must be approved by a majority of voters in a majority of states (at least 4 out of 6 states).

If a majority of voters in South Australia vote YES in the referendum, this market will resolve to YES.

If a majority of voters in South Australia do not vote YES in the referendum, this market will resolve to NO.

If the referendum is not held, this market will resolve to N/A.

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predicted NO

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