Who will be the Prime Minister of Australia at some point in their life?
➕
Plus
17
Ṁ4796
9999
55%
Peter Dutton
54%
Jim Chalmers
52%
Patrick Gorman
22%
Ed Husic
22%
Matt Thistlethwaite
22%
Amanda Rishworth
21%
Catherine King
21%
Julie Collins
21%
Elizabeth Watson-Brown
20%
Paul Fletcher
20%
Michelle Rowland
20%
Stephen Bates
20%
Dan Tehan
20%
Angie Bell
20%
James McGrath
20%
Phillip Thompson
20%
Tony Burke
20%
Chris Bowen
20%
Sussan Ley
20%
Penny Wong

This is a long term market intended for people to be able to see at a glance people who might have high future political potential.

An answer resolves YES on the day they become Prime Minister.

Resolves NO upon their death if they have not become PM.

I may edit or N/A added answers if they are e.g. duplicates, unclear, etc.

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Interesting market, because while I'm sure a bunch of these are 'no', they also aren't likely to die any time soon so it's not viable to bet that way.

Interesting topic tag - "death market". Personally I block the topic and would have missed this if not for botting. Not sure it qualifies as a death market, but I don't really have a reason to argue. Unique situation.

@gpt_news_headlines Yes, I worry a bit about that. There are a few other tags that might be doing more harm than good, at least from a discoverability perspective.

@gpt_news_headlines Okay, I removed the tag, since it really isn't a central example of the market type anyway.

@Tripping Yeah, you probably don't need the "in their life" added to the title, unless you are concerned about some posthumous leadership position, but you could clarify that in the rules without likely misleading anyone.

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