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MANIFOLD
Which teams will make it to the knockout stage at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
122
Ṁ6.4kṀ180k
resolved Jun 28
Resolved
NO
New Zealand
Resolved
NO
Iran
Resolved
NO
Uzbekistan
Resolved
NO
South Korea
Resolved
NO
Jordan
Resolved
NO
Uruguay
Resolved
NO
Tunisia
Resolved
NO
Qatar
Resolved
NO
Saudi Arabia
Resolved
NO
Scotland
Resolved
NO
Panama
Resolved
NO
Haiti
Resolved
NO
Curacao
Resolved
NO
Jamaica
Resolved
NO
New Caledonia
Resolved
NO
Iraq
Resolved
NO
Bolivia
Resolved
NO
Suriname
Resolved
NO
Ukraine
Resolved
NO
Poland

32 teams will make it into the knockout stage of the 2026 FIFA World cup, and so 32 answers will resolve YES and all others will resolve NO. Countries that fail to qualify for the World Cup will resolve NO. Counties that get knocked out in the group stages will resolve NO. Countries that make it to the Round of 32 in the Knockout Stage will resolve YES.

The group stage begins June 11th and goes until June 27th.

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opened a Ṁ204 YES at 23% order

did @Yuna stop trading against me?

opened a Ṁ410 YES at 73% order

@bohaska No, I had stopped for different reasons. I'm back up now

@Yuna make some non-bot trades please

opened a Ṁ410 YES at 87% order

@Tripping

I'm curious, I don't think a non-api bet from a bot account gives you trader bonuses, right?

(I think Manifold should either give creators the option to block api taking orders and/or give them trader bonuses for api bets. The current setup seems schizo to me. So please don't hate the player - hate the game 😅 )

@Yuna nope no bonus 😭

opened a Ṁ410 YES at 79% order

@Tripping sucks

filled a Ṁ680 NO at 1.0% order

@Tripping New Caledonia/Ukraine/Albania/Suriname/Republic of Ireland/Wales/North Macedonia/Slovakia/Romania all lost today/yesterday and have failed to qualify for the World Cup, and should all resolve NO.

@Tripping Poland/Kosovo/Bolivia/Italy/Denmark/Jamaica all lost today/yesterday and should resolve NO.

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