Will I weigh <145 pounds by Jan 1, 2025?

Premium

108

Ṁ190k

Jan 1

13%

chance

ALL

Update Aug 19: You can now see my daily weigh ins here:

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1get_QTibMAz8Sv3imAKRwrH2VHiRNHN-y2CyPuDt66o/edit?usp=sharing

---

My last weigh in as of starting this market was on July 26, 2024 at 162.0 pounds.

I'm 5'4'' tall

I don't currently regularly exercise. I have a terrible sweet tooth and use food to cope.

I've been overweight since I got married in 2012, though I did get down to 145 pounds in 2020.

This will resolve to yes if my weigh in on the morning of January 1, 2025 is <145

This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.

Get

1,000

and

3.00

26 Comments

102 Holders

304 Trades

Sort by:

You can now track my daily weigh ins + chart here:

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1get_QTibMAz8Sv3imAKRwrH2VHiRNHN-y2CyPuDt66o/edit?usp=sharing

View original context

TREVOR, come on buddy!

it's not happening folks (prove me wrong)

bought Ṁ1,000 NO from 32% to 31%

bought Ṁ150 YES

I believe in you!

bought Ṁ100 YES

DEWIT

bought Ṁ1,000 YES

still achievable. I think you got this if you want it.

Just updated the chart

bought Ṁ10,000 NO

@TrevorMcKendrick Do you plan to cheese it by starving yourself for 2 days before the new year or nah

opened a Ṁ25 YES at 25% order

Good question. I'll ask it too.

So...how did November go?

A lot of doubters in here, prove them wrong!

Just updated the chart

@TrevorMcKendrick could you please update again?

@snazzlePop done

Will there be any spooky season updates? It's my favourite time of year!

153.6 today? You should celebrate with some caaaaake 🎂

bought Ṁ620 YES

@MitchellWright I'm in for more YES. Don't let me down Trevor! Let's beat Hank!

boughtṀ25,000NO

@EvilMcKendrick heyyyyy!

buying no on on an alt on your own (motivation) market (in part) to fill my limit order is not cool! I realize I shouldn't have placed those limits but still

@Bayesian That wasn't me. I don't know who it is

@TrevorMcKendrick someone created an alt and spent 25$ on NO on your market, and their name is Evil Trevor? LOL okay, well I think you'll succeed at your objective if that isn't you. As long as that's not you then my interpretation of the situation was mistaken and I meant no ill will, sorry <3

bought Ṁ501 YES

@Bayesian If I had to guess it would be @HankTaylor but that's just a guess. Seems like the kind of fun he'd pursue

bought Ṁ2,000 YES

@EvilMcKendrick @HankTaylor what are you two planning... 👀

@TrevorMcKendrick might it be a family member

@ismellpillows No I don't think so

@TrevorMcKendrick @Bayesian I thought it was clear from the name. I'm not Trevor...I'm EVIL Trevor

Related questions

Related questions