Odds of Biden winning is above 50% at the end of 2023
217
1.8kṀ52kresolved Jan 1
Resolved
NO1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
🏅 Top traders
# | Name | Total profit |
---|---|---|
1 | Ṁ2,064 | |
2 | Ṁ540 | |
3 | Ṁ354 | |
4 | Ṁ320 | |
5 | Ṁ259 |
Sort by:
@makeworld that's a reasonable approach, but to stay consistent with the original intent (and what's been bet on), I'll use the API derived prob on settle. This also avoids conflicts of interest since I've had stakes in the market.
In the future, to avoid mark manipulation, I'll be cognizant of other schemes like you proposed.