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MANIFOLD
Daily coinflip
151
Ṁ1kṀ60k
resolved Aug 24
Resolved
YES

Yes = heads

No = tails

(Day 195)

Current totals: 97 heads vs 97 tails

Longest streak: 10 (heads) (days 12-22)

@FairlyRandom will be used to generate the outcome

1 = heads

2 = tails

Resolution can be expected within 24 hours after closing

Should @FairlyRandom fail to produce an outcome 24 hours after the close date and a final request (here > testing market), I will manually resolve it according to a Google coinflip.

Should @FairlyRandom respond to multiple queries >1 hour after their requests, they will be discarded and the outcome rerolled.

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Longest win streak: @Skyguy (of 7)

Longest loss streak: @

Biggest win: @

Biggest loss: @

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🤖

@Traveel your random number is: 1

Salt: 0tb9wfq50f2p, round: 4301407 (signature a2248f5631cb139799efcf6295933931ca0003578bbbff5973ca3d03bbd32674455cb3c5e2f72f3bed0c610319ab87dd048e60b24c600dade45045719775dc0465b0189e86dde947c52daedb3ae30f9b9d8554dbe111c6b968f00a72bf49ee9f)

🤖

@Traveel you asked for a random integer between 1 and 2, inclusive. Coming up shortly!

Source: GitHub, previous round: 4301405 (latest), offset: 2, selected round: 4301407, salt: 0tb9wfq50f2p.

There is a bias in demand towards yes shares in these markets

Funnily enough, I thought about that when I first created these markets because YES is green, which we’ve been conditioned to associate with reward. I actually used to always bet NO to increase participation because I figured more people would want to click the big green button. Would be fun to do a properly controlled experiment.

I have noticed this bias as well.

It makes sense that it would be a social construct issue since mathematically the EV is more or less neutral so there should be little to no preference.

bought Ṁ50 YES

all in. no way it's 3 tails in a row