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MANIFOLD
Will my friend get laid in Taiwan during his 6-days stay (09/06 - 09/11) ?
3
Ṁ100Ṁ13
Sep 11
45%
chance

Some context:

My friend has spent 3 months visiting China this year. While he was there, he got matches with a Taiwanese girl on Tandem (an app to practice languages).

He is back to China to study the language for 6 months at the university and starts in a month. He organized a small trip in Taiwan for 6 days and will meet with this girl.

This market will resolve to 'YES' if he manages to get laid WITH THIS GIRL during his stay and will default to 'NO' if it didn't happen at midnight on the 11th of September 2026.

Market context
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