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MANIFOLD
Will my friend get laid in Taiwan during his 6-days stay (09/06 - 09/11) ?
8
Ṁ100Ṁ69
Sep 11
28%
chance

Some context:

My friend has spent 3 months visiting China this year. While he was there, he got matches with a Taiwanese girl on Tandem (an app to practice languages).

He is back to China to study the language for 6 months at the university and starts in a month. He organized a small trip in Taiwan for 6 days and will meet with this girl.

This market will resolve to 'YES' if he manages to get laid WITH THIS GIRL during his stay and will default to 'NO' if it didn't happen at midnight on the 11th of September 2026.

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Update: my friend landed yesterday. They spent the night together but nothing happened yet.

Update: she rented a separate bedroom.

Update: the girl might actually be bipolar. She keeps sending him cheerful messages followed by very demanding one, asking to be answered immediately. My friend is still going.

@Touick uhhhh 🥴

Update: turns out she just deleted her instagram account, the trip is still on!

Update: he cannot see her on Instagram anymore, my friend fears that she blocked him.