Will Dar es Salaam, Tanzania have a Metro System before 2030?
1
100Ṁ10
2030
55%
chance

This market will resolve as YES if, by December 31, 2029:

  • Dar es Salaam has begun operation of a metro system, defined as a rapid transit rail system that operates on dedicated tracks either underground, elevated, or at grade level with complete separation from other traffic.

  • A system primarily promoted as "light rail" will count if I judge it to largely equivalent to a metro under the above definition, based on grade separation and dedicated rights of way.

  • A system primarily promoted as "commuter rail" or "regional rail" will not generally count, unless it is also referred to as a metro in official materials.

  • The system must be operational with at least one line and multiple stations serving the public.

  • Bus systems do not count as metro systems.

I will resolve this market using my judgement given the guidelines above. I will not bet on this market.

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