What power source will replace diesel for long-haul trucking by 2030?
53
1.4kṀ51052031
16%
Battery-electric vehicle
4%
Hydrogen fuel cell
11%
Synthetic natural gas / hydrocarbons / biofuels
0.1%
Fusion
0.1%
Fossil-fuel natural gas
68%
Diesel will still be dominant
0.5%
The intention for resolution is to determine the winner based on fraction of trucks sold in the USA in 2030. There are currently very few non-diesel long-haul systems deployed, so I don't yet know what source will provide data on truck sales by power type, but I expect it will be a group like the US Energy Information Administration providing a chart similar to this one:
https://www.eia.gov/todayinenergy/detail.php?id=60321
Placing resolution date as March 1 2031 to allow time for collection of sales statistics for 2030.
If a novel technology is developed between now and 2030 that looks to be a contender for becoming the dominant power source for long-haul trucking, I'll add the technology to the options.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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