Resolution Criteria

The trip is scheduled for April 27-30, 2026. This market resolves YES if King Charles III and Queen Camilla's state visit to the United States is cancelled or postponed before the scheduled dates. The market resolves NO if the visit proceeds as planned, even if portions of the itinerary are modified. Resolution will be determined by official announcements from Buckingham Palace or the UK government.

Background

King Charles and Queen Camilla will make a state visit to the United States in late April 2026, in what will be the monarch's first US state visit since his accession to the throne. The visit will celebrate the historic connections and the modern bilateral relationship between the United Kingdom and the United States, marking the 250th anniversary of American Independence. One striking invitation already on the table is for King Charles to address both houses of the US Congress, which would be the first time in more than three decades that a British monarch has spoken in that chamber.

Considerations

The king's visit to Washington will come at a tense time for U.S.-U.K. relations, with Trump being highly critical of Prime Minister Keir Starmer's reluctance to join the joint U.S.-Israeli war on Iran. Some members of Parliament have demanded that Starmer call off the state visit, with opposition leader Ed Davey saying it would be a humiliation to send the king after Trump dismissed the Royal Navy as toys. However, King Charles travels on government advice, so the decision to cancel rests with Prime Minister Keir Starmer.

This description was generated by AI.