By 100 people i mean more than 99 people :)
@TobiasSowaaed So can people just use multiple accounts to hit the high-enough value, even though these sock puppet accounts will earn less than a couple of mana which would suggest something fishy went on?
@portfolio Maybe there is. Tbh my intention with the best was just a funny gamble with the probability being unknown. If people use multiple account it should be against terms of agreement which is not my place to resolve I think
@brubsby Well it only resolves yea because the owner of the bet set the bar too low. There should be a equilibrium number where the true probability is 50%
@TobiasSowaaed I'm trying to find that equilibrium point:
/jks/will-500-traders-participate-in-thi
/jks/will-1000-traders-participate-in-th
/jks/will-2024-traders-participate-in-th
Though by sharing the markets here, I wonder how much I've changed it lol
@TobiasSowaaed You didn't "clarify", you said something completely different in the description. Seems like you're intentionally trying to mislead people.
@TobiasSowaaed The description is clear; it clarifies that you chose to title your question incorrectly, and you still have not provided any good reason why you did that.
First reason: my intention was always 100 people or more for it to be
Second reason: the original title was “Will 100 people bet on this question” which indirectly states it’s 99+ people As the operator should be very clear if it was Exactly 100 people not more or less.
@TobiasSowaaed you should have made this market when we were still in Bronze League, you would have beaten me if so!
If this count hit 100 or more then i resolve as yes, idk if limit orders goes into that count
@MrLuke255 The days upto the deadline it Will most likely go crazy cause a lot of people bet no and all of a sudden people will bet yes. This bet is more for fun and more of a gamble for sure:)
@TobiasSowaaed Betting no if it's very close to 100 traders doesn't make any sense, other than just loosing on purpose and doing a disservice to those who bet earlier