This market will resolve YES if reliable sources aligned with global health and charities report that PEPFAR-funded organizations are once again receiving the money they were promised.
Resolves NO if the government continues breaking the law in order to kill millions of people.
Update 2025-03-31 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): End of March Time Definition:
Cutoff Time: The market will use the moment when it is no longer March anywhere, specifically at midnight on April 1 (UTC-12).
Global Standard: This endpoint emphasizes a global time standard for all regions, ensuring that the resolution is determined when March has ended worldwide.
Update 2025-03-31 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Resolution Clarification:
The market will resolve as YES if PEPFAR-funded organizations have received at least 85% of the promised payments before April 1 (using the UTC-12 cutoff).
Payment receipt is determined by reliable sources confirming that the funds have been disbursed prior to the cutoff time.
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I will say that the resolution is at least somewhat in doubt: the department of state claims to have processed 161 payments by March 28th, with 314 payments remaining. That isn't absolutely nothing.
@TiredCliche alas, US govt is no longer "reliable sources aligned with global health and charities".
@MartinRandall It's true, I'm just saying that this is directionally better than the first few weeks where the lawyers were not even pretending to comply!
@TiredCliche also looks like there are over 6,000 payments remaining to process, according to that source.
Also, is that lawsuit only about payment for work already completed?
@JamesBaker3 The line is if they receive the money they were promised before April 1, I'll be generous and say 85% of promised payments.
@BiologyTranslated End of March means April at midnight, UTC-12, at which time it is no longer March anywhere in the world. I think a market discussing global funding deserves a globalist time endpoint.