In the videogame Deltarune, will it be revealed that the character Asriel is dead as of the outset of the main story? Asriel must be already dead by the end of chapter 2- this is not a market on whether Asriel will die.
Update 2025-05-12 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): * Trading will be paused around June 4, 2024, for approximately two weeks to avoid spoilers related to Chapters 3/4.
If Chapters 3/4 provide an answer to the market question, the market will resolve after this pause.
If Chapters 3/4 do not provide an answer, trading will resume after the pause.
Update 2025-06-02 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): If Chapters 3/4 provide a clear answer to the market question:
Resolution may be delayed longer than the initial ~two-week trading pause (which starts around June 4, 2024) to further prevent spoilers.
The exact length of this potential additional delay is to be determined by the creator.
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This market is now pausing trading, due to reports of some material from the game being leaked. Idk if this actually happened, but I want to be extremely careful if it is true.
The market will resume trading in about two weeks if the situation remains unclear. If the answer is clear, I might wait a little longer to resolve YES or NO.
Stay determined. Deltarune tomorrow.
@TiredCliche Actually, if we do get a straight up and down answer, I may wait longer to resolve it, to prevent spoiling anyone. We shall see.
@DreemurrtheGoatGuy I don't personally like the theory either, I didn't care much for Omori's plot and this theory seems similarly ridiculous.
I can relate to tragic events, and tragic accidents, but not tragic accidents where a morally good character temporarily loses their mind and now has to cover up the freak accident, forever.
@MollTheCoder This resolves when we find out whether he is alive or dead or not in game, with maybe a week/month or so added on to prevent spoilers. I will be resolving based on obvious evidence, and if the evidence is non-obvious, will wait to resolve. If ch3/4 gives us very good reason to think he's currently alive- like, he appears, or calls Kris, in what appears to be the present day- I'll resolve yes then. Same as if it gives clear evidence that he's dead. If there is a sixth sense style switcheroo later I'll refund traders out of pocket.