How will Eliud Kipchoge place in the 2025 London Marathon?
14
1.1kṀ2222
Apr 28
80%
Top 25 (including top 10)
78%
Top 3 (including first place)
68%
Top 10 (including top 3)
14%
Drops out or does not finish
13%
First place

Note to traders: This market will close shortly before the start of the race. If the race is rescheduled for any reason, I'll update the close time.

Resolves to N/A if the race is cancelled or if the outcome is significantly impacted by outside interference (natural disaster, terrorist attack, etc.).

Same market for Jacob Kiplimo: How will Jacob Kiplimo place in the 2025 London Marathon? | Manifold

  • Update 2025-03-02 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): DNS as Dropping Out

    • DNS (Did Not Start) will be treated as dropping out.

    • This clarification means that if Kipchoge does not start the race, it will be resolved as him dropping out rather than as N/A.

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Does DNS fall under "Drops out or does not finish", or will it be an N/A in that case?

@Eliza Sorry, I didn't see your comment before. That would count as dropping out.

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