“Which devices support ChatGPT agent?

ChatGPT agent is available on web, mobile (iOS/Android), and on our desktop apps (MacOS and Windows).”

https://help.openai.com/en/articles/11794342-chatgpt-agent

Seems like it will be available on chatgpt.com

Personally I think the name is pretty fucking stupid, it doesn’t roll off the tongue, they should have called it just “agent”

@ThomasPoltoranos it is called "Agent" in the UI

@bh wanna bet way more? I'll bet huge volume if you're interested.

oh nvm no balance. mb

https://openai.com/index/chatgpt-agent-system-card/

“ChatGPT agent is a new agentic model in the same family as OpenAI o3, that combines the strengths of deep research and Operator.”

https://help.openai.com/en/articles/11794342-chatgpt-agent

“ChatGPT agent is available to users on ChatGPT Pro, Plus, and Team plans. It will be available to Enterprise and Edu users in the coming weeks.”

@Bandors is this a stupid fucking name

wow this is one of the least stupid names i've ever heard

@bh waking up... let me get some coffee. Do note the first sentence fine print: "Will the next openAI model available on chatgpt.com

@Bayesian lol I may have underestimated the subjectivity of this market... but my understanding of the author's intent is "logical progression (GPT n+1, o n+1) non-stupid; tacking on random words (GPT Max, potentially GPT Agent) stupid"

@Bandors hm, i didn't consider that deep research or operator might not be considered models available on chatgpt.com, bc they were reconfigured to appear merely as "tools" that models can use, but fair, rip, i am dumb for betting confidently

as in, it's available in chatgpt.com, and it's clearly a new model, but it doesn't appear in model selection, it instead appears, like deep research does, in "tools", which is a bit misleading. Just making sure you mean the models in the top left model selector only, and if so if you could clarify that in the description i think that would be good

@Bayesian I did not list deep research as as model because it's on a tool list. If Agent is only a tool, I don't think it would cause this market to resolve.

@bh GPT MAX is stupid because like wtf is max? but GPT Agent at least makes sense...

Wow the o3 pro thing not meeting the criteria is really fucking stupid

@DarklyMade It was stated from market creation that it has to be plus tier accessible + I have to see it available on my own account. Before all these AI edits it wasn't even a long description

BTW I am going to extend this market if there's no new model by closing time. (July 25th) Any objections?

https://manifold.markets/Bayesian/when-will-openai-release-an-open-so?r=Ymg

Also related, also incompatible with such a high probability here: https://manifold.markets/RemNi/will-gpt5-be-released-before-aug-20?r=Ymg

Will GPT-5 be released before Aug 2025?

56% chance. Resolves as YES if GPT-5 is released before August 1st 2025 Questions with the same criteria: @/RemNi/will-gpt5-be-released-before-feb-20-8c957783cf35 @/RemNi/will-gpt5-be-released-before-mar-20-04aa9e145a57 @/RemNi/will-gpt5-be-released-before-apr-20-e3c7a09c7840 @/RemNi/will-gpt5-be-released-before-may-20-370feb584056 @/RemNi/will-gpt5-be-released-before-jun-20-da21ae1ffcdd @/RemNi/will-gpt5-be-released-before-jul-20-09d441d0d15e @/RemNi/will-gpt5-be-released-before-aug-20-f155aef83a4b @/RemNi/will-gpt5-be-released-before-sep-20-b4b9e56da814 @/RemNi/will-gpt5-be-released-before-oct-20-7426e1e5392e @/RemNi/will-gpt5-be-released-before-nov-20-de1a0d74aaab @/RemNi/will-gpt5-be-released-before-dec-20-0a804511572e @/RemNi/will-gpt5-be-released-before-jan-20-6e2ba03f7479 @/RemNi/will-gpt5-be-released-before-feb-20-5a18f221c267 @/RemNi/will-gpt5-be-released-before-mar-20 @/RemNi/will-gpt5-be-released-before-apr-20 @/RemNi/will-gpt5-be-released-before-may-20 @/RemNi/will-gpt5-be-released-before-jun-20 @/RemNi/will-gpt5-be-released-before-jul-20 @/RemNi/will-gpt5-be-released-before-aug-20 (this question) @/RemNi/will-gpt5-be-released-before-sep-20 @/RemNi/will-gpt5-be-released-before-oct-20 @/RemNi/will-gpt5-be-released-before-nov-20 @/RemNi/will-gpt5-be-released-before-dec-20 @/RemNi/will-gpt5-be-released-before-jan-20 @/RemNi/will-gpt5-be-released-before-feb-20 In order to qualify as released in the context of this question, GPT-5 must either be accessible to any consumer willing to pay, or free to access for anyone, in at least 4 of the following countries: USA, UK, France, Japan, India, Canada, Australia, Germany, Italy before the specified date. A release of the text component alone is sufficient to resolve this question as YES. However, a staged release (a release of a smaller model than the largest version of GPT-5) is not considered to be the "release" in the context of this question. If access is restricted (e.g. due to resource availability limitations) at this question's end date, then this market resolves as YES only if the majority of existing paying accounts on OpenAI's premium offer that were subscribed a week prior to this end date can use the model. This must be true in at least 4 of the countries listed above. The anywhere on earth time zone is used for this question.

also https://manifold.markets/Bayesian/what-will-the-successor-to-o3-be-ca?r=Ymg

No new model- I have extended this market for another month.

"o4-mini-high" is definitely stupid and sounds like an edible or pre-roll from the dispensary.

Current price seems inconsistent with prices here: https://manifold.markets/ManifoldAI/when-will-openai-broadly-release-th

By when will OpenAI broadly release the model expected to be called GPT-5?

OpenAI is expected to release a new flagship model called GPT-5 sometime this year or early next year, although Sam Altman has said that he's not sure if they'll actually call it GPT-5. This market will resolve based on the official, confirmed public release of that anticipated model. If it is not named GPT-5 then Altman/OpenAI must make it clear that it is the same anticipated model which everyone has been expecting to be called GPT-5. If this is not clear, a model not named GPT-5 will not count for this resolution. A test release like the GPT2 chatbots put up on Chatbot Arena before the release of GPT-4o would not count for this market, and neither would something like the preview release of GPT-4 through Microsoft Azure. This market requires a broad, official release which is either free or available at a reasonable cost like through a GPT plus membership. These exact resolution criteria may be updated to better match the spirit of the question, and your suggestions are welcome in the comments. All options in this market resolve NO as that month arrives until the anticipated model is broadly released and all remaining options then resolve YES.

Or are YES bettors expecting a non-GPT5 model to be released ~this month, followed by GPT-5 later this summer?

Would GPT-5o qualify as a stupid name?

Also, I disagree that "o5" is a non-stupid name but it's your market so you can define "stupid" however you want

@MichaelDickens Yes, GPT-5o would be a stupid fucking name.